Vol. 9, Special Issue 4 (2020)

Author(s):
Ajay Kumar and Urmil Verma

Abstract:
The present study has been conducted to find out mustard yield forecast models for Bhiwani and Hisar districts of Haryana using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) technique. The main focus of the study is to forecast five years ahead mustard yield in the said districts. The selection criteria like Akaike information criteria and Bayesian information criteria acted as a guiding hint to decide the final models. The forecast figures and real-time yield(s) for both the districts are compared on the basis of mean absolute percentage error to check the validity performance of the developed models.